Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 48 · v1

Severe Weather in United States

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 5 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 3 July 2026 at 02:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 4th strongest of the 20 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 27 April 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued July 2 at 8:57PM EDT until July 2 at 10:30PM EDT by NWS Grand Rapids MI

Urban PEI: 638,360 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 27 April 2026

How we know

5 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 48 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)48 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.89/1
Coordinates43.1882, -87.4070
Nearest CityMilwaukee (44 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)638.4K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-03T00:57:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6655454de7185fa40c66fa75e46e6803

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-03T00:57:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-07-03T01:12:02.086Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
85
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescGrand Haven to Whitehall MI; Whitehall to Pentwater MI; Pentwater to Manistee MI; Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Sheboygan to Port Washington WI; Port Washington to North Point Light WI; Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL; Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM offshore to Mid Lake and 1 more areas
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued July 2 at 8:57PM EDT until July 2 at 10:30PM EDT by NWS Grand Rapids MI
Expires2026-07-02T22:30:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Grand Rapids MI
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount4
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6655454de7185fa40c66fa75e46e6803032f649d.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.aa63eeb3698265703956903510f1210b8bb00cd6.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f6a48184773e5085aea5b0db21dbb4a74bd4913b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.19f845e4da7a5edade07935edc47e5f3347ca633.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryH
Iem Magnitude1
Iem UnitInch
Iem City3 ESE Jackson
Iem CountyWashington
Iem StateWI
Iem WfoMKX
Iem RemarkTrained spotter reports 1 inch diameter hail in Jackson.
Google News RssFeedweather
Google News SourceNameWTMJ

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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